5 Nov · 23:40 MEZLow · Slight Edge
PO
🇨🇿Piotr Odelski
ELO 1586
FormWLLWL
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Odelski
LB
🇨🇿Lukasz Buklat
ELO 1557
FormLLLLW
52%
48%
Fair odds · Odelski
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 57% · 1.76· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~78 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
18%
2-3
16%
3-2
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+29
H2H8-4
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.