6 Nov · 10:10 MEZLow · Coin Flip
MR
🇨🇿Michal Raska
ELO 1501
FormLLWLL
50%Win chancemodel fair 2.00Raska
LL
🇨🇿Laurent Lasota
ELO 1496
FormLLWWL
50%
50%
🔥 Underdog lean · Lasota🌟Lasota covers set handicap as underdog 63% (89)
Fair odds · Raska
Model 50% · 2.00vsMarket 59% · 1.70· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~77 pts
3-1
19%
1-3
19%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+5
H2H8-3
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.