6 Nov · 12:40 MEZLow · Slight Edge
BM
🇨🇿Bruno Mrowetz
ELO 1530
FormLLLLL
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Mrowetz
MR
🇨🇿Michal Raska
ELO 1501
FormLLWLL
52%
48%
🔥 Underdog lean · Raska
Fair odds · Mrowetz
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 61% · 1.65· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~78 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
18%
2-3
16%
3-2
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+29
H2H10-4
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.