6 Nov · 13:10 MEZLow · Slight Edge
LD
🇨🇿Lukas Dzida
ELO 1517
FormLWWLW
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Precek
EP
🇨🇿Erik Precek
ELO 1540
FormLLLWW
48%
52%
Fair odds · Precek
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 50% · 2.00· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~76 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
18%
3-2
17%
2-3
16%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+23
H2H4-5
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.