6 Nov · 12:20 MEZMedium · Model Lean
TR
🇨🇿Tomas Rein
ELO 1388
FormWWLLL
58%Win chancemodel fair 1.72Knazik
OK
🇨🇿Ondrej Knazik
ELO 1485
FormWLLWW
42%
58%
Fair odds · Knazik
Model 58% · 1.72vsMarket 71% · 1.41· vig 6%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 40%Total ~77 pts
1-3
22%
2-3
18%
0-3
18%
3-1
16%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+97
H2H58-22
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+97)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (58-22)