6 Nov · 14:15 MEZMedium · Model Lean
RB
🇨🇿Radek Benes
ELO 1569
FormWWLWL
56%Win chancemodel fair 1.79Skvrna
JS
🇨🇿Jan Skvrna
ELO 1639
FormLWLWW
44%
56%
🔥 Underdog lean · Benes🌟Skvrna rarely covers set handicap as favourite 33% (203)
Fair odds · Skvrna
Model 56% · 1.79vsMarket 50% · 2.00· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~78 pts
1-3
21%
2-3
17%
0-3
17%
3-1
17%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+70
H2H59-41
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+70)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (59-41)