6 Nov · 08:40 MEZLow · Slight Edge
JK
🇨🇿Jan Krupnik
ELO 1521
FormLWLWL
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Krupnik
MR
🇨🇿Michal Raska
ELO 1501
FormLLWLL
52%
48%
🔥 Underdog lean · Raska🌟Krupnik rarely covers set handicap as favourite 35% (185)
Fair odds · Krupnik
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 58% · 1.73· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~77 pts
3-1
19%
1-3
19%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+20
H2H10-6
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.