6 Nov · 15:25 MEZMedium · Model Lean
PC
🇨🇿Petr Chlumsky
ELO 1419
FormWLWWL
57%Win chancemodel fair 1.75Sykora
DS
🇨🇿David Sykora
ELO 1499
FormLLLWL
43%
57%
🌟Chlumsky covers set handicap as underdog 62% (50)
Fair odds · Sykora
Model 57% · 1.75vsMarket 61% · 1.65· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~75 pts
1-3
21%
2-3
18%
0-3
18%
3-1
17%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+80
H2H4-3
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+80)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (4-3)