6 Nov · 13:40 MEZLow · Coin Flip
BM
🇨🇿Bruno Mrowetz
ELO 1530
FormLLLLL
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Precek
EP
🇨🇿Erik Precek
ELO 1540
FormLLLWW
49%
51%
Fair odds · Precek
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 49% · 2.06· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~77 pts
1-3
19%
3-1
19%
3-2
17%
2-3
16%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+10
H2H11-10
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.