6 Nov · 11:40 MEZLow · Coin Flip
BM
🇨🇿Bruno Mrowetz
ELO 1530
FormLLLLL
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Mrowetz
LD
🇨🇿Lukas Dzida
ELO 1517
FormLWWLW
51%
49%
🔥 Underdog lean · Dzida
Fair odds · Mrowetz
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 54% · 1.86· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~77 pts
3-1
19%
1-3
19%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+13
H2H2-2
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.