6 Nov · 12:45 MEZMedium · Model Lean
TK
🇨🇿Tomas Krenek
ELO 1651
FormWLWWW
57%Win chancemodel fair 1.75Krenek
RB
🇨🇿Radek Benes
ELO 1569
FormWWLWL
57%
43%
🔥 Underdog lean · Benes🌟Krenek rarely covers set handicap as favourite 36% (177)
Fair odds · Krenek
Model 57% · 1.75vsMarket 56% · 1.79· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~78 pts
3-1
21%
3-2
18%
3-0
18%
1-3
17%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+82
H2H78-75
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+82)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (78-75)