6 Nov · 13:50 MEZMedium · Model Lean
OK
🇨🇿Ondrej Knazik
ELO 1485
FormWLLWW
58%Win chancemodel fair 1.72Dohnal
JD
🇨🇿Jaroslav Dohnal
ELO 1585
FormLWWWL
42%
58%
🌟Dohnal rarely covers set handicap as favourite 29% (205)
Fair odds · Dohnal
Model 58% · 1.72vsMarket 56% · 1.79· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 40%Total ~78 pts
1-3
22%
2-3
18%
0-3
18%
3-1
16%
3-2
14%
Elo Gap+100
H2H70-38
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+100)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (70-38)