6 Nov · 09:00 MEZMedium · Model Lean
MS
🇨🇿Marcin Stepien
ELO 1631
FormWWLWW
57%Win chancemodel fair 1.75Stepien
DS
🇨🇿Dawid Stapor
ELO 1550
FormLLLLL
57%
43%
Fair odds · Stepien
Model 57% · 1.75vsMarket 55% · 1.81· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~79 pts
3-1
21%
3-2
18%
3-0
18%
1-3
17%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+81
H2H89-107
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+81)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)