6 Nov · 18:10 MEZLow · Slight Edge
TO
🇨🇿Tomas Ogrocki
ELO 1504
FormLWWLW
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Ogrocki
AD
🇨🇿Ales Drozd
ELO 1452
FormLWLLL
54%
46%
🌟Drozd covers set handicap as underdog 65% (57)
Fair odds · Ogrocki
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 50% · 2.00· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~77 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
17%
3-2
17%
3-0
17%
2-3
16%
Elo Gap+52
H2H6-7
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.