6 Nov · 18:15 MEZMedium · Model Lean
PC
🇨🇿Peter Chvojka
ELO 1528
FormWLLWW
58%Win chancemodel fair 1.72Chvojka
JJ
🇨🇿Jaroslav Neuwirth Jnr
ELO 1435
FormLWLLL
58%
42%
🌟Jnr covers set handicap as underdog 67% (76)
Fair odds · Chvojka
Model 58% · 1.72vsMarket 60% · 1.66· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 40%Total ~77 pts
3-1
22%
3-2
18%
3-0
18%
1-3
16%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+93
H2H6-3
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+93)
- ✓Better recent form (3-2)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (6-3)