6 Nov · 16:40 MEZLow · Slight Edge
OC
🇨🇿Ondrej Coufal
ELO 1532
FormWWWWL
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Coufal
TO
🇨🇿Tomas Ogrocki
ELO 1504
FormLWWLW
52%
48%
🌟Coufal stays under total as favourite 67% (18)
Fair odds · Coufal
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 56% · 1.79· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~73 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
18%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+28
H2H3-1
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.