6 Nov · 17:40 MEZLow · Slight Edge
OC
🇨🇿Ondrej Coufal
ELO 1532
FormWWWWL
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Coufal
KB
🇨🇿Karel Baros
ELO 1478
FormWLLWL
54%
46%
🌟Coufal stays under total as favourite 67% (18)
Fair odds · Coufal
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 51% · 1.94· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~74 pts
3-1
21%
1-3
17%
3-2
17%
3-0
17%
2-3
16%
Elo Gap+54
H2H0-0
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.