6 Nov · 16:50 MEZMedium · Model Lean
JD
🇨🇿Jaroslav Dohnal
ELO 1585
FormLWWWL
56%Win chancemodel fair 1.79Dohnal
JF
🇨🇿Jan Fiala
ELO 1506
FormWLWWL
56%
44%
🔥 Underdog lean · Fiala🌟Fiala covers set handicap as underdog 83% (23)
Fair odds · Dohnal
Model 56% · 1.79vsMarket 44% · 2.26· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~77 pts
3-1
21%
3-2
18%
3-0
18%
1-3
17%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+79
H2H0-0
Why this call
Why this pick? · 1 reason
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+79)