6 Nov · 22:25 MEZLow · Coin Flip
OK
🇨🇿Ondrej Kadavy
ELO 1702
FormWLLWL
50%Win chancemodel fair 2.00Kadavy
JZ
🇨🇿Jachym Zacharda
ELO 1698
FormWLLLW
50%
50%
Fair odds · Kadavy
Model 50% · 2.00vsMarket 60% · 1.66· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~74 pts
1-3
19%
3-1
19%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+4
H2H34-23
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.