6 Nov · 15:40 MEZMedium · Model Lean
OC
🇨🇿Ondrej Coufal
ELO 1532
FormWWWWL
57%Win chancemodel fair 1.75Coufal
AD
🇨🇿Ales Drozd
ELO 1452
FormLWLLL
57%
43%
🌟Coufal stays under total as favourite 67% (18)
Fair odds · Coufal
Model 57% · 1.75vsMarket 54% · 1.86· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~73 pts
3-1
21%
3-2
18%
3-0
18%
1-3
17%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+80
H2H1-2
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+80)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)