6 Nov · 21:45 MEZLow · Coin Flip
JV
🇨🇿Jiri Vanous
ELO 1441
FormLLWWW
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Zeman
KZ
🇨🇿Karel Zeman
ELO 1452
FormWLLWW
49%
51%
🌟Zeman rarely covers set handicap as favourite 36% (88)
Fair odds · Zeman
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 58% · 1.72· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~77 pts
1-3
19%
3-1
19%
3-2
17%
2-3
16%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+11
H2H23-16
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.