6 Nov · 17:05 MEZMedium · Model Lean
RV
🇨🇿Richard Vavricka
ELO 1495
FormWWLLL
59%Win chancemodel fair 1.69Vavricka
OP
🇨🇿Ondrej Pros
ELO 1384
FormWLLWL
59%
41%
Fair odds · Vavricka
Model 59% · 1.69vsMarket 64% · 1.56· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 41%Total ~76 pts
3-1
22%
3-2
18%
3-0
18%
1-3
16%
2-3
14%
Elo Gap+111
H2H6-1
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+111)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (6-1)