6 Nov · 17:15 MEZLow · Slight Edge
JJ
🇨🇿Jaroslav Neuwirth Jnr
ELO 1435
FormLWLLL
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Sindler
JS
🇨🇿Jaroslav Sindler
ELO 1481
FormWLWLW
46%
54%
🔥 Underdog lean · Jnr🌟Jnr covers set handicap as underdog 67% (76)
Fair odds · Sindler
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 59% · 1.70· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~77 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
18%
2-3
17%
0-3
17%
3-2
16%
Elo Gap+46
H2H12-9
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.