6 Nov · 21:10 MEZLow · Slight Edge
AC
🇨🇿Ales Cizek
ELO 1590
FormWLWWL
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Cizek
JT
🇨🇿Jakub Travnicek
ELO 1551
FormWLLWL
53%
47%
🌟Cizek rarely covers set handicap as favourite 35% (96)
Fair odds · Cizek
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 48% · 2.08· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~76 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
18%
3-2
17%
3-0
17%
2-3
16%
Elo Gap+39
H2H13-18
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.