6 Nov · 20:45 MEZLow · Coin Flip
JV
🇨🇿Jiri Vanous
ELO 1441
FormLLWWW
50%Win chancemodel fair 2.00Vanous
JJ
🇨🇿Jaroslav Neuwirth Jnr
ELO 1435
FormLWLLL
50%
50%
🔥 Underdog lean · Jnr🌟Jnr covers set handicap as underdog 67% (76)
Fair odds · Vanous
Model 50% · 2.00vsMarket 41% · 2.42· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~77 pts
3-1
19%
1-3
19%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+6
H2H0-0
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.