6 Nov · 17:50 MEZLow · Slight Edge
TH
🇨🇿Tomas Hnizdil
ELO 1638
FormWWWLW
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Hnizdil
JD
🇨🇿Jaroslav Dohnal
ELO 1585
FormLWWWL
54%
46%
🌟Dohnal covers set handicap as underdog 67% (52)
Fair odds · Hnizdil
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 59% · 1.69· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~76 pts
3-1
21%
1-3
17%
3-2
17%
3-0
17%
2-3
16%
Elo Gap+53
H2H15-9
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.