6 Nov · 19:25 MEZLow · Slight Edge
MS
🇨🇿Martin Sulc
ELO 1576
FormLWWLL
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Sulc
DS
🇨🇿David Sochor
ELO 1524
FormWWLWL
54%
46%
Fair odds · Sulc
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 62% · 1.62· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~75 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
17%
3-2
17%
3-0
17%
2-3
16%
Elo Gap+52
H2H5-8
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.