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06 Nov · 18:35 UTC · Final✓ Prediction correct
MCMartin Chmelicek
🇨🇿Martin Chmelicek
ELO 1464
3-1Final setsChmelicek won
SMSimon Mezlik
🇨🇿Simon Mezlik
ELO 1443
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Chmelicek at 54%. The actual result was Martin Chmelicek 3-1 — the pick was correct.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Martin Chmelicek favoured — closing 1.62
Favourite won
Total 75.5
77 points played
Over
Set handicap
Martin Chmelicek −1.5 sets
Covered
Points handicap
Martin Chmelicek −0.5 points
No cover
Total sets 3.5
closing 1.33
Over
Exact score
market priced 3-1 at close
5.9
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Martin Chmelicek is favoured to win, below means Simon Mezlik.

▲ Martin Chmelicekpre 58% → final 100%
Simon Mezlik ▼
Biggest swing 42 pts51 points · 3 games