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06 Nov · 18:10 UTC · Final✕ Prediction missed
ADAles Drozd
🇨🇿Ales Drozd
ELO 1476
3-1Final setsDrozd won
KBKarel Baros
🇨🇿Karel Baros
ELO 1472
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Baros at 51%. The actual result was Ales Drozd 3-1 — the underdog won.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Karel Baros favoured — closing 1.75
Upset
Total 75.5
91 points played
Over
Set handicap
Karel Baros −1.5 sets
No cover
Points handicap
Karel Baros −1.5 points
No cover
Total sets 3.5
closing 1.33
Over
Exact score
market priced 3-1 at close
4.3
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Ales Drozd is favoured to win, below means Karel Baros.

▲ Ales Drozdpre 53% → final 98%
Karel Baros ▼
Biggest swing 46 pts50 points · 3 games