7 Nov · 19:05 MEZLow · Coin Flip
KZ
🇨🇿Krzysztof Zapala
ELO 1579
FormWLLLW
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Zapala
PO
🇨🇿Piotr Odelski
ELO 1570
FormLLLWL
51%
49%
Fair odds · Zapala
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 43% · 2.31· vig 10%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~79 pts
3-1
19%
1-3
19%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+9
H2H8-6
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.