7 Nov · 20:35 MEZLow · Coin Flip
RV
🇨🇿Richard Vavricka
ELO 1483
FormWLLLW
50%Win chancemodel fair 2.00Horky
JH
🇨🇿Jakub Horky
ELO 1486
FormLLLWL
50%
50%
🌟Vavricka covers set handicap as underdog 65% (46)
Fair odds · Horky
Model 50% · 2.00vsMarket 52% · 1.92· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~78 pts
3-1
19%
1-3
19%
3-2
17%
2-3
16%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+3
H2H3-7
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.