7 Nov · 21:45 MEZLow · Slight Edge
TM
🇨🇿Tomas Molin
ELO 1570
FormLWLLW
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Molin
JT
🇨🇿Jakub Travnicek
ELO 1529
FormLLLWW
53%
47%
Fair odds · Molin
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 48% · 2.07· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~76 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
18%
3-2
17%
3-0
17%
2-3
16%
Elo Gap+41
H2H0-1
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.