7 Nov · 22:10 MEZLow · Coin Flip
IJ
🇨🇿Ivan Jemelka
ELO 1478
FormWWWLW
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Jemelka
PJ
🇨🇿Patrik Jokiel
ELO 1464
FormLLWWL
51%
49%
Fair odds · Jemelka
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 35% · 2.84· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~77 pts
3-1
19%
1-3
19%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+14
H2H2-10
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.