7 Nov · 20:40 MEZLow · Slight Edge
JV
🇨🇿Jiri Vanous
ELO 1439
FormLLWWL
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Jemelka
IJ
🇨🇿Ivan Jemelka
ELO 1478
FormWWWLW
47%
53%
Fair odds · Jemelka
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 47% · 2.14· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~77 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
18%
2-3
17%
0-3
17%
3-2
16%
Elo Gap+39
H2H3-4
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.