7 Nov · 20:45 MEZLow · Slight Edge
TM
🇨🇿Tomas Molin
ELO 1570
FormLWLLW
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Molin
IH
🇨🇿Ivan Heuman
ELO 1520
FormWLLLW
54%
46%
🌟Heuman covers set handicap as underdog 69% (90)
Fair odds · Molin
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 55% · 1.83· vig 10%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~78 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
18%
3-2
17%
3-0
17%
2-3
16%
Elo Gap+50
H2H0-0
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.