7 Nov · 22:15 MEZLow · Slight Edge
IH
🇨🇿Ivan Heuman
ELO 1520
FormWLLLW
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Vitasek
DV
🇨🇿Daniel Vitasek
ELO 1549
FormWWWLL
48%
52%
🔥 Underdog lean · Heuman🌟Heuman covers set handicap as underdog 69% (90)
Fair odds · Vitasek
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 50% · 2.02· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~79 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
18%
3-2
16%
2-3
16%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+29
H2H27-26
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.