7 Nov · 21:35 MEZLow · Coin Flip
TM
🇨🇿Tomas Motacek
ELO 1489
FormLWLWW
50%Win chancemodel fair 2.00Motacek
RV
🇨🇿Richard Vavricka
ELO 1483
FormWLLLW
50%
50%
🌟Vavricka covers set handicap as underdog 65% (46)
Fair odds · Motacek
Model 50% · 2.00vsMarket 49% · 2.06· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~78 pts
3-1
19%
1-3
19%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+6
H2H1-2
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.