7 Nov · 19:25 MEZMedium · Model Lean
ZZ
🇨🇿Zdenek Zahradka
ELO 1435
FormWLLLW
59%Win chancemodel fair 1.69Kulveit
JK
🇨🇿Jonas Kulveit
ELO 1547
FormWWWWW
41%
59%
Fair odds · Kulveit
Model 59% · 1.69vsMarket 58% · 1.71· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 41%Total ~76 pts
1-3
22%
2-3
18%
0-3
18%
3-1
16%
3-2
14%
Elo Gap+112
H2H8-7
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+112)
- ✓Better recent form (5-0)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (8-7)