7 Nov · 21:05 MEZMedium · Model Lean
MF
🇨🇿Milan Flesar
ELO 1549
FormLLWWW
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Flesar
JH
🇨🇿Jakub Horky
ELO 1486
FormLLLWL
55%
45%
🌟Horky goes over total as underdog 68% (19)
Fair odds · Flesar
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 63% · 1.60· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~76 pts
3-1
21%
3-2
17%
3-0
17%
1-3
17%
2-3
16%
Elo Gap+63
H2H6-1
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+63)
- ✓Better recent form (3-2)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (6-1)