7 Nov · 19:35 MEZLow · Coin Flip
DB
🇨🇿Damian Bucko
ELO 1585
FormWWLWW
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Bucko
KZ
🇨🇿Krzysztof Zapala
ELO 1570
FormLWLLL
51%
49%
Fair odds · Bucko
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 50% · 2.00· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~78 pts
3-1
19%
1-3
19%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+15
H2H56-49
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.