7 Nov · 20:35 MEZMedium · Model Lean
KZ
🇨🇿Krzysztof Zapala
ELO 1562
FormLLWLL
56%Win chancemodel fair 1.79Duch
AD
🇨🇿Adam Duch
ELO 1640
FormWLLWW
44%
56%
Fair odds · Duch
Model 56% · 1.79vsMarket 68% · 1.48· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~78 pts
1-3
21%
2-3
18%
0-3
18%
3-1
17%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+78
H2H73-50
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+78)
- ✓Better recent form (3-2)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (73-50)