8 Nov · 07:45 MEZLow · Slight Edge
KK
🇨🇿Kamil Kleprlik
ELO 1609
FormLWWWW
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Moravec
BM
🇨🇿Borek Moravec
ELO 1630
FormLWWLL
48%
52%
🌟Kleprlik covers set handicap as underdog 62% (77)
Fair odds · Moravec
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 77% · 1.30· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~76 pts
1-3
19%
3-1
18%
3-2
17%
2-3
16%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+21
H2H39-28
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.