8 Nov · 01:05 MEZMedium · Model Lean
MS
🇨🇿Mateusz Szymanski
ELO 1637
FormWLWLL
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Szymanski
PO
🇨🇿Piotr Odelski
ELO 1573
FormLWLWL
55%
45%
Fair odds · Szymanski
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 58% · 1.72· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~76 pts
3-1
21%
3-2
17%
3-0
17%
1-3
17%
2-3
16%
Elo Gap+64
H2H6-3
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+64)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (6-3)