8 Nov · 09:35 MEZLow · Slight Edge
MD
🇨🇿Miloslav Dvorak
ELO 1360
FormWLLLL
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Pesout
PP
🇨🇿Petr Pesout
ELO 1413
FormLLLWL
46%
54%
🌟Pesout goes over total as favourite 63% (54)
Fair odds · Pesout
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 57% · 1.75· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~76 pts
1-3
21%
3-1
17%
2-3
17%
0-3
17%
3-2
16%
Elo Gap+53
H2H11-4
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.