8 Nov · 10:15 MEZMedium · Model Lean
TG
🇨🇿Tomas Grmela
ELO 1550
FormWWWWW
56%Win chancemodel fair 1.79Moravec
BM
🇨🇿Borek Moravec
ELO 1630
FormLWWLL
44%
56%
Fair odds · Moravec
Model 56% · 1.79vsMarket 61% · 1.65· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~73 pts
1-3
21%
2-3
18%
0-3
18%
3-1
17%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+80
H2H1-0
Why this call
Why this pick? · 1 reason
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+80)