8 Nov · 09:05 MEZMedium · Model Lean
SM
🇨🇿Simon Mezlik
ELO 1438
FormWLWWL
58%Win chancemodel fair 1.72Mezlik
VK
🇨🇿Vlastimil Kaisler
ELO 1336
FormWWLLW
58%
42%
🌟Mezlik rarely covers set handicap as favourite 35% (20)
Fair odds · Mezlik
Model 58% · 1.72vsMarket 52% · 1.92· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 40%Total ~77 pts
3-1
22%
3-2
18%
3-0
18%
1-3
16%
2-3
14%
Elo Gap+102
H2H3-2
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+102)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (3-2)