8 Nov · 08:05 MEZMedium · Model Lean
SM
🇨🇿Simon Mezlik
ELO 1438
FormWLWWL
56%Win chancemodel fair 1.79Mezlik
MD
🇨🇿Miloslav Dvorak
ELO 1360
FormWLLLL
56%
44%
🔥 Underdog lean · Dvorak🌟Mezlik rarely covers set handicap as favourite 35% (20)
Fair odds · Mezlik
Model 56% · 1.79vsMarket 55% · 1.82· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~77 pts
3-1
21%
3-2
18%
3-0
18%
1-3
17%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+78
H2H1-1
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+78)
- ✓Better recent form (3-2)