8 Nov · 08:35 MEZMedium · Model Lean
PP
🇨🇿Petr Pesout
ELO 1413
FormLLLWL
56%Win chancemodel fair 1.79Pesout
VK
🇨🇿Vlastimil Kaisler
ELO 1336
FormWWLLW
56%
44%
🌟Pesout goes over total as favourite 63% (54)
Fair odds · Pesout
Model 56% · 1.79vsMarket 58% · 1.72· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~76 pts
3-1
21%
3-2
18%
3-0
17%
1-3
17%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+77
H2H6-2
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+77)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (6-2)