8 Nov · 10:05 MEZLow · Slight Edge
SM
🇨🇿Simon Mezlik
ELO 1438
FormWLWWL
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Mezlik
PP
🇨🇿Petr Pesout
ELO 1413
FormLLLWL
52%
48%
🌟Mezlik rarely covers set handicap as favourite 35% (20)
Fair odds · Mezlik
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 53% · 1.89· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~76 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
18%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+25
H2H5-6
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.