8 Nov · 12:40 MEZMedium · Model Lean
AK
🇨🇿Adam Kanak
ELO 1477
FormWLWLL
58%Win chancemodel fair 1.72Precek
EP
🇨🇿Erik Precek
ELO 1571
FormWWLWW
42%
58%
🌟Kanak covers set handicap as underdog 70% (109)
Fair odds · Precek
Model 58% · 1.72vsMarket 54% · 1.86· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 40%Total ~77 pts
1-3
22%
2-3
18%
0-3
18%
3-1
16%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+94
H2H2-2
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+94)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)